Based on the EU referendum results so far, analysis by ITV News suggests a 80% probability of a Leave vote based on Leave performing better than expected in key seats.
However, the vote is still on a knife-edge, with more than 50% of results to be declared.
ITV News Political Editor Robert Peston has called the close race an "earthquake" for David Cameron.
Other key developments:
However, the vote is still on a knife-edge, with more than 50% of results to be declared.
ITV News Political Editor Robert Peston has called the close race an "earthquake" for David Cameron.
Other key developments:
- The pound fell to its lowest level in 31 years as Leave edged ahead
- Nigel Farage told supporters that June 23 should go down as "our independence day"
- Eighty-four Eurosceptic Tory MPs signed a letter calling on David Cameron to continue as prime minister whatever the result of the referendum